The RMB exchange rate is expected to appreciate again at the end of the year. The research team of the Financial Market Department of Agricultural Bank of China said that the market transactions have shown obvious narrative-driven characteristics in recent years. Considering some recent changes, the RMB exchange rate is expected to stabilize and rebound again in the future. First, the pricing of Trump transactions in the international market has come to an end. Second, there has been a major shift in domestic macro policies. Since late September, financial policies such as lowering the RRR, cutting interest rates, supporting the stock market and the real estate market, and fiscal debt measures have boosted market confidence. Third, there has been a favorable change in supply and demand in the domestic foreign exchange market. The end of the year is the traditional peak season for enterprises to settle foreign exchange, and the continuous forward discount will lead to the backlog of foreign exchange settlement, which will further amplify the demand for foreign exchange settlement at the end of the year. Further considering the overall situation of the game between China and the United States, Trump's return not only means the enhancement of external shocks, but also the upgrading of internal policies. The RMB exchange rate will maintain two-way fluctuations next year, and it is no longer a steady profit for enterprises to hold US dollars and postpone foreign exchange settlement. While stabilizing domestic foreign trade and foreign investment, continuing to expand high-level opening-up and expanding domestic demand in an all-round way implies the certainty of economic stabilization and recovery, which is expected to promote the return of short-term securities investment and medium-and long-term direct investment and help the RMB stop falling and rebound.Institution: A small interest rate cut by the European Central Bank may have a neutral impact on euro credit. Analysts of Yuxin Bank said in a report that the European Central Bank is expected to announce a 25 basis point interest rate cut tonight, which should have a neutral impact on euro-denominated credit. Analysts said that if the central bank cuts interest rates by 50 basis points further, it is unlikely to be beneficial to euro credit, because it will raise concerns about economic growth in the euro zone. According to the data of LSEG Refinitiv, the possibility that the market expects the European Central Bank to cut interest rates by 25 basis points is 83%, while the possibility of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 17%. Yuxin Bank said that as the European Central Bank continues to cut interest rates, the euro credit spread may fluctuate slightly or tighten slightly in the coming months.Kremlin spokesman: (Asked if Putin has been invited to attend Trump's inauguration ceremony) No invitation has been received.
South Korea's National Assembly passed "Yin Xiyue's General Special Inspection Law" and "Jin Jianxit's Inspection Law". The reporter of the General Station was informed that on the 12th local time, South Korea's National Assembly held a general meeting of parliamentarians and passed "Yin Xiyue's General Special Inspection Law" and "Jin Jianxit's Inspection Law". (CCTV News)Ai Kelan: The actual controller intends to transfer 5% shares of the company by agreement. Ai Kelan announced that Liu Yi, the controlling shareholder and actual controller of the company, intends to transfer 4 million unrestricted shares of the company to Guangdong Nanchuan Private Equity Fund Management Co., Ltd. by agreement transfer, accounting for 5.00% of the company's total share capital. If the transaction is finally completed, Liu Yi holds 33.89% of the company's shares, and Nanchuan Private Equity holds 5.00% of the company's shares. This change in equity will not lead to changes in the controlling shareholder and actual controller of the company. The transfer of shares in this agreement can only be handled in Shenzhen Branch of China Securities Depository and Clearing Co., Ltd. after the compliance confirmation of Shenzhen Stock Exchange. The share transfer price of this transaction is 20.61 yuan/share.In the latest centralized purchase of sitagliptin tablets, the price dropped to less than 20 cents per tablet, with a drop of over 90%. The reporter learned at the scene of the tenth batch of drug centralized purchase that more than 30 companies bid for sitagliptin, which is known as the largest variety in this centralized purchase, including Huahai Pharmaceutical, Kelun Pharmaceutical, Zhengda Tianqing, tonghua dongbao, Zhejiang Pharmaceutical, Jiudian Pharmaceutical, Shiyao Ouyi, Chenxin Pharmaceutical and many other companies. Judging from the bidding results, the lowest bid price among enterprises has dropped below 0.2 yuan per piece, which is more than 90% lower than the limit price. Statistics show that in 2023, the sales of this product in the terminals of public medical institutions in China exceeded 2 billion yuan, and the sales of Merck, the original research manufacturer, accounted for more than 90%, so there is a large room for generic drug substitution. The quotation of Meradong in this collection is about 7.37 yuan per piece. (science and technology innovation board Daily)
U.S. and cloth oil fell 0.3 USD in short term, and now they are reported at 70.08 USD/barrel and 73.50 USD/barrel respectively.Deputy Prime Minister of Ukraine: We are ready to discuss the deployment of foreign troops in our own territory. On December 12, local time, the reporter of the General Desk learned that Ukrainian Deputy Prime Minister Stefani Hina said that Ukraine is ready to discuss the deployment of foreign troops in its own territory. It is reported that French President Macron and Polish Prime Minister Tusk plan to exchange views on the deployment of about 40,000 peacekeepers in Uzbekistan on the 12th. (CCTV News)Reuters survey: Most economists expect Britain to basically avoid the impact of Trump tariffs. According to the Reuters survey, most economists expect that US President-elect Trump will impose tariffs of less than 10% or not at all on goods imported from Britain next year, which will have little impact on the British economy. This is in stark contrast to a similar poll last month. Last month's polls showed that people were generally worried that the EU would be hit harder. Britain officially withdrew from the EU in 2020. Part of the reason why economists are more optimistic about Britain is that although one-fifth of Britain's total trade is with the United States, the proposed tariffs will focus on goods, and only one-third of Britain's exports are goods.